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Business Owners: How to Use Year-to-Date Numbers to Make Better Tax Decisions

September 08, 202622 min read

Financial Horizons: Insights for Building Wealth and Securing Your Legacy

Business Owners: How to Use Year-to-Date Numbers to Make Better Tax Decisions

By Dr. Jose G. Cardenas | Chief Tax Strategist, The C & R Group, LLC

Business owners love revenue.

It is visible.

It is exciting.

It tells you customers are buying.

But revenue alone does not tell you whether your tax plan is working.

Suppose your business has generated:

$800,000 of revenue

through August.

Sounds great.

Now I ask:

“What is your year-to-date net profit?”

Silence.

Then:

“How much have you already paid toward your 2026 taxes?”

More silence.

Then:

“What do you project your taxable business income will be by December 31?”

And suddenly we discover that the business owner knows the sales number but does not know the number driving much of the tax decision.

That is the problem.

By September, a business owner should be able to see substantially more than gross revenue.

You should know:

  • Year-to-date revenue;

  • Year-to-date expenses;

  • Net profit;

  • Owner compensation;

  • Distributions or draws;

  • Payroll;

  • Estimated taxes;

  • Cash reserves;

  • Accounts receivable;

  • Major upcoming purchases;

  • Expected Q4 activity.

The federal income-tax system operates on a pay-as-you-go basis. The IRS specifically notes that individuals who are in business for themselves generally pay taxes through estimated payments, and those payments can cover both income tax and self-employment tax. The IRS also recommends recalculating estimated taxes when earnings change rather than continuing to rely on an outdated projection. (IRS)

That leads to today's central principle:

Your year-to-date financial statements should not merely tell you what happened. They should help you decide what to do next.


1. Start With a Current Profit-and-Loss Statement

The first report I want from a business owner in September is:

January 1 through August 31 Profit & Loss.

At minimum, it should show:

Revenue

$________

Cost of goods sold / direct costs

$________

Gross profit

$________

Operating expenses

$________

Net profit

$________

That net-profit number becomes one of the starting points for tax projection.

Without it, we are guessing.

And tax strategy built on guesses tends to produce very precise surprises.


2. Revenue Is Not Taxable Profit

Imagine a company with:

Revenue

$750,000

Expenses

$550,000

Net profit

$200,000

Another company has:

Revenue

$500,000

Expenses

$225,000

Net profit

$275,000

Which company may have more income subject to tax?

Potentially the second one.

Despite having:

$250,000 less revenue.

That is why:

Revenue measures activity. Profit helps measure tax exposure.

Do not build a tax strategy around your top line.


3. Compare Year-to-Date Profit With Last Year

Now add context.

Suppose:

2025 full-year business profit

$160,000

2026 profit through August

$185,000

You have already exceeded last year's annual profit.

That is a tax-planning signal.

Yet if your estimated payments were calculated using last year's income and never revisited, your tax funding may be behind.

September is the time to find out.

Not March.


4. Compare Actual Results With the 2026 Budget

Your budget said:

YTD projected revenue

$450,000

Actual:

$575,000

Variance:

+$125,000

Excellent.

But now look at profit.

Projected profit

$120,000

Actual profit:

$175,000

Variance:

+$55,000

Now the tax conversation changes.

A business outperforming the plan should trigger:

a new tax projection.

Success is good.

Unfunded tax liability attached to success is avoidable.


5. Do Not Simply Multiply August Profit by 1.5

If eight months of profit equal:

$160,000,

a simple annualization might suggest:

$240,000 full-year profit.

Maybe.

But first ask:

  • Is Q4 historically stronger?

  • Is Q4 historically weaker?

  • Are large contracts scheduled?

  • Will bonuses be paid?

  • Are insurance renewals coming?

  • Will equipment be purchased?

  • Are annual professional fees due?

A projection should reflect the actual business cycle.

Not just arithmetic.


6. Separate Recurring Revenue From One-Time Revenue

Suppose your YTD revenue includes:

$150,000 one-time contract

that will not repeat.

Do not automatically annualize it.

Likewise, if you signed a new recurring client in July:

The remaining four months may produce more revenue than the first eight-month average suggests.

Classify revenue as:

Recurring

$________

Seasonal

$________

One-time

$________

Contracted but not yet earned

$________

That produces a stronger forecast.


7. Review Gross Margin

Tax planning should not ignore business economics.

Suppose sales increase:

30%.

Fantastic.

But direct costs increase:

50%.

Your gross margin may be deteriorating.

Calculate:

Gross Profit ÷ Revenue = Gross Margin

Example:

Revenue:

$600,000

Gross profit:

$240,000

Gross margin:

40%.

Compare with:

  • Prior year;

  • Budget;

  • Industry expectations.

A tax deduction cannot fix a structurally weak margin.


8. Review Expenses by Category

Do not look only at total expenses.

Break them down.

Examples:

  • Payroll;

  • Contractor labor;

  • Advertising;

  • Insurance;

  • Rent;

  • Software;

  • Professional fees;

  • Travel;

  • Vehicle expenses;

  • Supplies;

  • Interest;

  • Repairs;

  • Equipment.

Then ask:

What changed?

An unusual increase could represent:

  • Legitimate growth;

  • Waste;

  • Misclassification;

  • Capital expenditure;

  • Personal expense posted incorrectly.

Better tax planning starts with cleaner books.


9. Identify Personal Expenses Inside the Business

A common mistake is assuming:

“The business paid it, so it is deductible.”

No.

Payment source does not determine tax deductibility.

Review potentially mixed items:

  • Meals;

  • Travel;

  • Vehicles;

  • Cell phones;

  • Internet;

  • Entertainment;

  • Family expenses.

Classify correctly before projecting taxable profit.

A P&L loaded with personal spending is not a tax strategy.

It is a bookkeeping problem.


10. Review Accounts Receivable

Your P&L is only part of the picture.

Suppose clients owe:

$150,000

but the business has only:

$40,000 cash.

That matters.

Ask:

Total AR

$________

Over 30 days

$________

Over 60 days

$________

Over 90 days

$________

Tax planning and cash-flow planning need to communicate.

A profitable business can still be cash poor.


11. Review Accounts Payable

Now look at what the business owes.

Accounts payable

$________

Payroll due

$________

Debt payments

$________

Taxes due

$________

Your bank balance is not:

free cash

if significant obligations are already attached to it.

Before making a year-end purchase or owner distribution:

Know what the business actually owes.


12. Build a Tax Reserve

Suppose the business checking account shows:

$200,000.

Owner thinks:

“We have $200,000 available.”

Not necessarily.

Part may belong to:

  • Payroll;

  • Vendors;

  • Debt service;

  • Taxes.

Create a separate tax reserve.

Current tax reserve

$________

Projected tax obligation

$________

Funding gap

$________

That one calculation can prevent a very unpleasant spring.


13. Review Estimated Tax Payments Against Current Profit

The IRS states that individuals including sole proprietors, partners, and S corporation shareholders generally may need estimated payments when they expect to owe at least $1,000 when the return is filed, subject to the complete estimated-tax rules. Estimated payments should be recalculated when expected earnings change. (IRS)

List:

Q1 federal payment

$________

Q2 federal payment

$________

Q3 federal payment

$________

State payments

$________

Then compare them with your updated projected liability.

The question is not:

“Did I make quarterly payments?”

It is:

“Were they enough?”


14. Understand the Estimated-Tax Safe-Harbor Framework

For many individuals, estimated-tax planning considers whether withholding and credits will equal at least the smaller of:

  • 90% of the current-year tax, or

  • Generally 100% of the prior-year tax, with special rules applying to certain higher-income taxpayers.

The IRS's 2026 Publication 505 lays out these rules and specifically instructs taxpayers to update the calculation as current-year income changes. (IRS)

This is important because:

Avoiding an underpayment penalty

and

fully paying this year's tax liability

are not necessarily the same objective.

A safe harbor may reduce penalty exposure while still leaving a substantial balance due.

Plan for both.


15. Review Owner W-2 Compensation

For S corporation owners:

Review:

Owner wages YTD

$________

Projected annual wages

$________

Business profit

$________

Distributions

$________

Shareholder-employees who perform services generally need reasonable compensation under the applicable rules.

September provides time to review payroll before the year closes.

Do not wait until January to discover:

“We should have run more payroll.”


16. Review Owner Distributions

Owner draws or distributions are not automatically the same as:

business expenses.

If the owner takes:

$100,000

from the company,

that does not necessarily reduce business taxable income by:

$100,000.

This distinction surprises many new business owners.

Your bookkeeping should separately identify:

  • Compensation;

  • distributions;

  • reimbursed business expenses;

  • shareholder loans where applicable.

Cash leaving the bank account does not automatically equal tax deduction.


17. Review Shareholder or Partner Basis

For pass-through businesses, basis can affect:

  • Loss deductibility;

  • Distribution treatment;

  • Other tax consequences.

If the business owner has:

  • Large distributions;

  • Losses;

  • Debt changes;

  • Capital contributions,

basis deserves review.

Do not wait until the return is being prepared to reconstruct several years of basis history.


18. Review Fixed Assets

Pull the fixed-asset list.

For each item:

  • Description;

  • Cost;

  • Purchase date;

  • Placed-in-service date;

  • Business-use percentage.

Examples:

  • Vehicles;

  • Machinery;

  • Computers;

  • Furniture;

  • Equipment;

  • Building improvements.

Then compare that list with the books.

If a $40,000 machine is buried inside:

Office Supplies,

the books need correction before projection.


19. Separate Repairs From Capital Improvements

A business may spend:

$75,000

on property.

But the accounting and tax treatment can depend on what actually occurred.

Was it:

  • Maintenance?

  • Repair?

  • Improvement?

  • New asset?

Do not assume:

“We paid it this year, so deduct all of it.”

Classification matters.

The projection should reflect the anticipated treatment rather than simply the cash payment.


20. Review Planned Q4 Equipment Purchases

If you already intend to purchase equipment:

Now is the time to review:

  • Business need;

  • Cost;

  • Financing;

  • Placed-in-service timing;

  • Depreciation alternatives;

  • Cash impact.

The correct decision is:

Buy what the business needs and then optimize the tax treatment.

Not:

Buy something you do not need because taxes are high.

If you spend a dollar only to save a fraction of a dollar in tax, the business is still poorer by the difference.


21. Review Payroll Expense

Payroll is often one of the largest business expenses.

Compare:

Payroll through August

$________

Projected Q4 payroll

$________

Bonuses

$________

Employer payroll taxes

$________

Benefits

$________

If staffing increased substantially during the year:

Update the projection.

Do not annualize first-half payroll when the company hired five people in July.


22. Review Contractor Payments

List contractors paid year to date.

Contractor 1

$________

Contractor 2

$________

Contractor 3

$________

Then verify:

  • W-9 on file;

  • Payments classified correctly;

  • Worker classification reviewed;

  • Information-reporting requirements anticipated.

January should not be the first time you discover:

“We don't have this contractor's tax information.”


23. Review Retirement-Plan Contributions

A profitable year may create retirement-planning opportunities.

Depending on the business and employee structure, possibilities may include:

  • 401(k);

  • Solo 401(k);

  • SEP IRA;

  • SIMPLE IRA;

  • Other qualified plans.

But business owners should not view retirement planning solely as:

“How much can I deduct?”

Also review:

  • Cash requirements;

  • Employee obligations;

  • Long-term retirement objectives;

  • Administrative costs.

The tax strategy should support the retirement strategy.


24. Review QBI Using Current Numbers

The 2026 IRS Publication 505 notes that recent legislation made the Qualified Business Income deduction permanent and added 2026 changes, including a potential minimum deduction of $400 for taxpayers with at least $1,000 of total QBI from active trades or businesses, subject to the full rules. (IRS)

Business owners should therefore include QBI in current-year projections where applicable.

But do not simply calculate:

20% × profit.

The actual deduction can be affected by:

  • Taxable income;

  • Business type;

  • W-2 wages;

  • Qualified property;

  • Other limitations.

Model it properly.


25. Review Multiple Businesses Together

A business owner may have:

  • Operating company;

  • Rental company;

  • Consulting business;

  • Side venture;

  • Partnership investment.

Do not run a tax projection on only the largest business.

The return may combine results from several activities.

Create a schedule:

Business A projected income

$________

Business B projected income/loss

$________

Rental activity

$________

Partnership K-1 estimate

$________

Now you have the full picture.


26. Get K-1 Estimates Early

If you own an interest in:

  • Partnership;

  • S corporation;

  • Other pass-through entity,

and you do not control the books:

Ask for an estimate.

Waiting until:

March

for the K-1 means you may be waiting far too long for planning.

September estimate:

Not perfect.

But substantially more useful than:

nothing.


27. Review Interest Expense and Business Debt

Business debt can affect:

  • Cash flow;

  • Profit;

  • Expansion capacity.

Track:

Principal payments

$________

Interest expense

$________

Remember:

Principal and interest are not generally treated identically for tax purposes.

A $10,000 loan payment does not necessarily equal a:

$10,000 deduction.

Your books should separate the components.


28. Review Inventory

For businesses carrying inventory:

Ask:

Beginning inventory

$________

Purchases

$________

Ending inventory estimate

$________

Inventory affects cost of goods sold.

And cost of goods sold affects profit.

A business with weak inventory records can produce an unreliable tax projection even if the bank reconciliation is perfect.


29. Review Bad Debts and Uncollectible Receivables

Accounts receivable may show:

$100,000

but perhaps:

$20,000

is highly doubtful.

Depending on accounting method and applicable tax rules, the treatment requires analysis.

At a minimum:

Identify the problem now.

Do not carry fictitious economic value into every financial decision simply because an old invoice still sits in QuickBooks.


30. Review Sales Tax Separately From Revenue

Sales tax collected from customers may sit in the bank account.

That does not necessarily mean it belongs to the business.

Reconcile:

Sales tax collected

$________

Sales tax remitted

$________

Sales tax payable

$________

Do not mistake tax collected for:

profit.

That money may already have another owner.


31. Review Payroll Tax Liabilities

Same principle.

Payroll liabilities may include:

  • Federal withholding;

  • Social Security;

  • Medicare;

  • State withholding;

  • Unemployment taxes.

Those funds should be reconciled.

Cash in the account does not automatically equal operating cash.

Payroll trust obligations deserve particular care.


32. Review Your Balance Sheet

The P&L tells you performance.

The balance sheet tells you position.

Review:

Cash

$________

Accounts receivable

$________

Inventory

$________

Fixed assets

$________

Debt

$________

Accounts payable

$________

Equity

$________

A business can show strong profit and still have a weak balance sheet.

Taxes are only one part of the financial decision.


33. Profit Does Not Mean Cash

Suppose:

YTD profit

$250,000

but:

Accounts receivable

increased by:

$150,000

and:

Debt principal payments

used:

$50,000 cash.

The owner asks:

“If we made $250,000, where is the money?”

Excellent question.

Profit and cash flow are different.

Tax projections should therefore be paired with:

cash-flow projections.

Otherwise the owner may know the tax bill but not know how to fund it.


34. Build a Q4 Cash-Flow Forecast

Project:

Beginning cash

$________

Expected collections

$________

Payroll

$________

Vendor payments

$________

Debt payments

$________

Equipment

$________

Taxes

$________

Expected ending cash

$________

Now tax planning becomes integrated with operational planning.

That is where business owners make better decisions.


35. Determine the Minimum Cash Reserve

Ask:

How much cash does this company need to operate safely?

Maybe:

  • One month expenses;

  • Three months;

  • Six months.

The answer depends on:

  • Industry;

  • Revenue stability;

  • Payroll;

  • Debt;

  • Customer concentration.

Do not distribute every dollar above zero.

A profitable company without working capital is fragile.


36. Review Owner Distributions Against Cash Requirements

Owner wants:

$75,000 year-end distribution.

Before paying it:

Review:

Tax reserve

Funded?

Payroll

Funded?

Vendors

Funded?

Debt

Funded?

Q1 2027 operating cash

Funded?

Then decide.

Owner distributions should come from:

informed surplus.

Not:

whatever the bank balance happens to show Friday afternoon.


37. Review Planned Bonuses

Business owner considering bonuses to:

  • Employees;

  • Management;

  • Owner.

Model:

  • Payroll taxes;

  • Cash requirements;

  • Deductibility timing;

  • Compensation strategy.

Do not announce large bonuses before determining whether the company can:

fund the bonus, payroll taxes, operating costs, and tax reserve.

Generosity is admirable.

Insolvency is less festive.


38. Review Family Employment

If family members legitimately work in the business:

Review:

  • Actual duties;

  • Reasonable compensation;

  • Payroll;

  • Documentation.

Do not create year-end fictitious wages solely to produce deductions.

Real tax strategy follows real economic activity.


39. Review Your Entity Structure

The YTD numbers may reveal that the business has outgrown its current structure.

Example:

Sole proprietor expected:

$30,000 profit.

Projected actual:

$180,000.

That may justify reviewing:

  • LLC structure;

  • S corporation election;

  • Payroll implications;

  • Administrative costs.

But the answer should come from modeling.

Do not change entities because someone on social media said:

“S corps save taxes.”

Run the economics.


40. Do Not Make a Late Entity Election Without Understanding the Consequences

Entity changes can involve:

  • Election deadlines;

  • Payroll;

  • bookkeeping;

  • state filings;

  • reasonable compensation;

  • tax returns.

If structure needs review:

Start early.

A rushed December restructuring can create more compliance problems than tax savings.


Business Owner Case Study: The $1 Million Revenue Company

Assume Maria owns a professional services company taxed as an S corporation.

At the beginning of 2026, she projected:

Revenue

$900,000

Net profit before owner compensation adjustments

$220,000

Owner W-2 wages

$100,000

The tax strategy was built around those assumptions.


September Numbers Arrive

Actual January–August results:

Revenue

$720,000

Operating expenses

$455,000

Net operating profit before certain year-end adjustments

$265,000

And four months remain.

Maria says:

“We're having a great year.”

Correct.

Now we need to determine:

“How great?”


Step 1: Project Q4 Revenue

Contracts already signed:

$250,000

Additional probable revenue:

$80,000

Projected annual revenue:

Approximately:

$1,050,000

The company crossed seven figures.

That is worth celebrating.

But celebration is not projection.


Step 2: Project Q4 Expenses

Expected:

Payroll

$85,000

Rent and overhead

$35,000

Marketing

$20,000

Professional fees

$15,000

Other expenses

$20,000

Projected Q4 expenses:

$175,000

Now the profit forecast becomes more realistic.


Step 3: Update Projected Annual Profit

YTD profit:

$265,000

Projected additional Q4 revenue:

$330,000

Projected Q4 expenses:

($175,000)

Simplified projected additional profit:

$155,000

Projected annual profit before additional adjustments:

Approximately:

$420,000

Compare with original projection:

$220,000

Difference:

+$200,000

The tax plan needs an update.

Immediately.


Step 4: Review Taxes Paid

Maria has already paid:

Federal estimated taxes

$45,000

Federal wage withholding

$18,000

Total federal payments:

$63,000

But those payments were built around the lower projection.

The updated household tax calculation may show a significant funding gap.

Now Maria knows in September.

That is a problem she can manage.


Step 5: Review Owner Compensation

Projected profit increased substantially.

Owner wages:

$100,000

The reasonable-compensation analysis deserves a fresh review.

Not because profit automatically dictates a particular salary percentage.

Because the facts changed.

Document the analysis.


Step 6: Review Retirement Plan

Maria wanted to increase retirement savings.

Now the company has:

  • Higher profit;

  • Stronger cash flow.

A retirement-plan review may fit both:

  • Long-term wealth goals;

  • Tax planning.

But the plan is selected because it makes economic sense.

Not merely to create a deduction.


Step 7: Review Equipment

The firm already intended to replace:

$40,000

of aging technology.

Now the tax adviser reviews:

  • Timing;

  • Placed-in-service date;

  • Depreciation treatment.

The firm buys equipment it actually needs.

The tax strategy follows the business decision.

Correct order.


Step 8: Build the Tax Reserve

Updated tax projection produces an additional expected tax requirement.

Maria moves money into:

separate tax savings.

Now she does not accidentally distribute or reinvest money earmarked for the government.


Step 9: Protect Q1 Cash

After:

  • Payroll;

  • tax reserve;

  • planned equipment;

  • vendor obligations,

Maria calculates expected January cash.

Only then does she determine:

year-end owner distribution.

This is integrated business planning.


What Would Have Happened Without the YTD Review?

Maria might have entered Q4 thinking:

“Our estimated taxes are already handled.”

Then:

December:

Large distributions.

January:

Payroll and operating expenses.

March:

Tax return prepared.

April:

Large tax balance.

Now she has a liquidity problem.

The business did not have a:

tax-rate problem.

It had an:

information-timing problem.

September solved it.


The Business Owner YTD Dashboard

REVENUE

YTD:

$________

Projected Q4:

$________

Projected annual:

$________


PROFIT

YTD:

$________

Projected Q4:

$________

Projected annual:

$________


OWNER

W-2 compensation:

$________

Distributions/draws:

$________

Contributions:

$________


TAX

Federal withholding:

$________

Federal estimated payments:

$________

State taxes paid:

$________

Projected additional tax:

$________

Tax reserve:

$________


BALANCE SHEET

Cash:

$________

Accounts receivable:

$________

Accounts payable:

$________

Debt:

$________


Q4 PLANS

Equipment:

$________

Retirement contributions:

$________

Bonuses:

$________

Major contracts:

$________

Expected owner distribution:

$________

Now make decisions.


The 15-Minute Business Owner Tax Meeting

Every month, answer seven questions:

1. What is YTD revenue?

$________

2. What is YTD profit?

$________

3. What is projected annual profit?

$________

4. How much tax has been paid?

$________

5. How much additional tax is projected?

$________

6. How much is in the tax reserve?

$________

7. What major financial decision is coming next?

________________

Fifteen minutes of disciplined review can prevent months of cleanup.


Q3 Business Tax Readiness Checklist

BOOKS

  • Bank accounts reconciled.

  • Credit cards reconciled.

  • Revenue classified.

  • Expenses classified.

  • Personal expenses removed.

  • Fixed assets updated.

PROFIT

  • YTD profit known.

  • Q4 revenue projected.

  • Q4 expenses projected.

  • Annual profit projected.

OWNER

  • Compensation reviewed.

  • Distributions reviewed.

  • Basis reviewed where relevant.

TAX

  • Federal estimates reviewed.

  • State estimates reviewed.

  • Withholding reviewed.

  • QBI reviewed.

  • Tax reserve funded.

OPERATIONS

  • AR reviewed.

  • AP reviewed.

  • Payroll liabilities reviewed.

  • Sales tax reviewed.

  • Contractors reviewed.

YEAR-END

  • Equipment needs reviewed.

  • Retirement planning reviewed.

  • Bonuses reviewed.

  • Charitable planning reviewed.

  • Q1 cash needs projected.


AI-Search Quick Answers

Why should a business owner review year-to-date numbers in September?

Because eight months of actual financial activity provide a strong basis for projecting full-year profit while still leaving time to adjust estimated taxes, withholding, retirement planning, purchases, cash reserves, and other legitimate year-end decisions.

Should a business owner project taxes from revenue or profit?

Generally, tax planning should focus on taxable business income or profit rather than gross revenue. The applicable calculation depends on the entity and tax rules.

Do self-employed business owners generally need estimated taxes?

Yes. The IRS states that people who are in business for themselves generally pay income tax and self-employment tax through estimated payments when sufficient tax is not otherwise withheld. (IRS)

Should estimated payments be recalculated when business profit changes?

Yes. The IRS specifically recommends recalculating estimated taxes when expected earnings change during the year. (IRS)

When do individuals generally need estimated payments?

Individuals—including sole proprietors, partners, and S corporation shareholders—generally may need estimated payments when they expect to owe at least $1,000 at filing, subject to the complete rules. (IRS)

Can withholding help cover business-related individual taxes?

Potentially yes. A taxpayer receiving wages can request additional federal income-tax withholding using Form W-4, which may help cover tax generated by other household income. (IRS)

What information is needed for a 2026 tax projection?

The IRS's 2026 Publication 505 projection framework incorporates expected AGI, deductions, credits, self-employment tax, other taxes, withholding, and estimated payments. (IRS)

Is QBI still available in 2026?

Yes. The IRS's 2026 Publication 505 states that recent legislation made the qualified business income deduction permanent and includes several changes beginning in 2026, subject to the full Section 199A rules. (IRS)


30 Questions Business Owners Should Answer Before Q4

  1. What is YTD revenue?

  2. What is YTD gross profit?

  3. What is YTD net profit?

  4. How does profit compare with 2025?

  5. How does profit compare with budget?

  6. What revenue is expected in Q4?

  7. What expenses are expected in Q4?

  8. What is projected full-year profit?

  9. Are the books reconciled?

  10. Are personal expenses removed?

  11. Are fixed assets current?

  12. What is accounts receivable?

  13. How much AR is overdue?

  14. What is accounts payable?

  15. What debt is outstanding?

  16. What cash does the business actually have?

  17. How much is reserved for taxes?

  18. What federal estimated taxes have been paid?

  19. What state estimates have been paid?

  20. Is the original tax projection still accurate?

  21. Is owner compensation appropriate?

  22. How much has the owner distributed?

  23. Does basis need review?

  24. Are contractor records complete?

  25. Are payroll liabilities current?

  26. Are major equipment purchases planned?

  27. Does retirement-plan funding deserve review?

  28. What does Q1 2027 cash flow look like?

  29. What owner distribution can the business actually afford?

  30. If the year ended today, could I explain exactly how much the business earned, how much tax is projected, and where the cash will come from to pay it?

That final question tells me whether the business is being managed from:

financial information

or merely:

the bank balance.


What to Do Next

Create a Business Owner Q3 Command Dashboard.

PERFORMANCE

Revenue YTD:

$________

Profit YTD:

$________

Projected annual profit:

$________


CASH

Operating cash:

$________

Tax reserve:

$________

Minimum operating reserve:

$________


TAX

Federal paid:

$________

State paid:

$________

Projected annual liability:

$________

Projected remaining liability:

$________


OWNER

Wages:

$________

Distributions:

$________

Retirement contributions:

$________


Q4

Revenue expected:

$________

Expenses expected:

$________

Equipment:

$________

Bonuses:

$________


STATUS

GREEN

Projection current and taxes funded.

YELLOW

Numbers available, but adjustments needed.

RED

Profit, taxes, or cash requirements unknown.

Update it monthly through December.


Final Thought

Business owners do not need another stack of reports they never use.

They need numbers that answer questions.

Not:

“What did QuickBooks say?”

But:

“What does this tell me to do?”

If profit is higher than expected:

Update the tax projection.

If withholding is low:

Adjust.

If estimated payments are behind:

Recalculate.

If cash is weak:

Protect liquidity.

If equipment is needed:

Model the purchase.

If retirement savings are behind:

Review the options.

If distributions are too aggressive:

Slow down.

That is what financial statements are supposed to do.

They help turn:

data

into

decisions.

By September, the first eight months of your business have already given you a tremendous amount of information.

Use it.

Do not run Q4 using January assumptions.

Do not manage taxes from gross revenue.

Do not distribute cash before funding obligations.

Do not purchase assets simply to chase deductions.

Do not wait until filing season to discover how profitable the year actually was.

Instead:

Close the books.

Know the profit.

Project Q4.

Calculate the tax.

Fund the reserve.

Protect the cash.

Then make the strategic move.

Because strong business owners do not merely ask:

“How much did we sell?”

They ask:

“What did we earn, what will we keep, what do we owe, and what should we do next?”

That is how year-to-date numbers become better tax decisions.


Book Your Q3 Business Tax Strategy Consultation

If your business is having a different year than you expected in January—especially if revenue, profit, payroll, investments, or owner distributions have increased—now is the time to run the projection before Q4.

We can review:

  • Year-to-date P&L;

  • Projected annual profit;

  • Estimated taxes;

  • Owner compensation;

  • Distributions;

  • Tax reserves;

  • QBI;

  • Retirement-plan opportunities;

  • Equipment purchases;

  • Cash flow;

  • Year-end strategy.

Booking link:
https://api.leadconnectorhq.com/widget/booking/T4UHUjCijCtIB3rwoTDI

Phone: 580-699-1591

Booking your appointment now:

Book Appointment Today

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Dr. Jose G. Cardenas is a retired U.S. Army Finance Officer and the Chief Tax Strategist at The C & R Group, LLC. With a Doctorate in Business Administration and over 20 years of experience in tax planning and financial strategy, Dr. Cardenas helps individuals and business owners legally reduce taxes, strengthen cash flow, and build lasting wealth and legacy. Learn more at www.thecrgroupllc.com

DISCLOSURE

This article is for educational and informational purposes only and is not intended to serve as personalized legal, tax, or investment advice. Tax laws and regulations change over time and may vary by jurisdiction. You should consult with a qualified tax professional regarding your specific circumstances before implementing any strategy discussed here. Dr. Jose G. Cardenas, DBA, provides tax advisory services through The C & R Group, LLC. Insurance and investment strategies may be offered through his role as a licensed financial professional affiliated with Experior Financial Group.

Dr. Jose G. Cardenas

Dr. Jose G. Cardenas

Dr. Jose G. Cardenas is a retired U.S. Army Finance Officer and Chief Tax Strategist at The C & R Group, LLC. With a doctorate in business administration and decades of experience in financial strategy, tax planning, and wealth protection, he helps individuals and business owners legally reduce taxes, grow wealth, and secure their legacy.

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